Concept

Unmodelled parameter — where it appears

A property the mechanism has and its model does not. A fit absorbs it into whatever parameters it does have, which improves prediction over the range measured and returns dimensions that are not the machine's — a calibration that works and reports a machine that does not exist.

Named by 5 essays across 2 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

A fit converging onto noise. The sum of squared residuals through a calibration of a four-bar built 3% long on the coupler and 1% short on the rocker, started from the nominal dimensions. It falls by a factor of 1.2e+3 in 19 steps and then stops, at 4.05e-5 — which is the noise, not the machine. The readings were given 1.00e-3 radians of error each, and no fit can go below what its data contains. The last two steps fall faster than the ones before them, which is what a Gauss–Newton descent does when the Jacobian has full rank on the directions it is allowed to move in.

Reading a residual

A residual that falls to the instrument's noise and stops means the model is right. A residual that stops above it means something is missing, and which something can be read off how the leftover is distributed over the poses — as a constant, as a pattern in the crank angle, or as one bad reading.

metrology · Parameter
A calibration that improves the machine and reports the wrong one. The truth's tracing point is 0.198 units from where the model says it is, and the model has only four lengths with which to say so. Fitted over half a turn, it reduces the error there by a factor of 33 and over the other half by a factor of 21, so every practical test says the calibration worked. It got there by moving the rocker by -0.2474 — 8.2% — and the coupler by -0.0317. The residual it cannot drive away, 4.18e-3, is the only signal that anything is missing, and it is the signal a practitioner is most likely to read as instrument noise.

A parameter the model has not got

The machine's tracing point is 0.198 units from where the model says it is, and the model has only four lengths with which to say so. It absorbs the discrepancy: the error over the measured half-turn falls by a factor of thirty-three, the error over the other half falls by twenty-one, and the rocker comes back eight per cent short.

metrology · Parameter
A four-bar at 1°, solved. Ground 4, crank 1, coupler 3.5, rocker 3. Every joint position here is the output of a Newton–Raphson solve on the loop-closure equations, converged to 3.3e-14 — not a placement that looked right. Grashof's condition classifies these lengths as a crank rocker, and sweeping the crank through 360° confirms it: 120 of 120 positions assemble. The transmission angle at this instant is 54.3°.

Six things a measurement cannot tell you

A calibration with a perfect residual whose fourth number is a starting guess, a rank that says nothing about a second answer, an improvement that proves nothing about a parameter, a class with no margin, a plan scored on poses that were refused, and a model missing something no data can find. Six claims, each with the number that kills it.

wrong · Misconception
The identification Jacobian of a four-bar, read by coordinate machine. One row for every number the instrument reads and one column for every parameter that might be wrong. Each cell is the derivative of that reading with respect to that parameter, drawn to the right of its centre line when positive and to the left when negative, with the largest entry in the whole matrix at 3.14e+0. 24 rows against 6 columns: far more equations than unknowns, which is what makes an identification a least-squares problem rather than a solve, and what makes the question of which combinations of columns cancel a real one. These are the same derivatives the tolerance field computes one at a time — the same matrix read down instead of across.

What a model is allowed to change

Before a calibration runs, somebody decides which numbers it may move. Leave one out and the fit absorbs it into the others; put one in that the instrument cannot see and the fit returns whatever the damping preferred. Both decisions are made before any measurement, both are checkable in advance, and neither is usually checked.

metrology · Parameter
What each instrument recovers. The same twenty poses of the same four-bar, read three ways. A protractor on the output link recovers 3 of the four lengths and leaves the fourth exactly invisible, because its readings are dimensionless in the lengths and scaling the machine does not move them. A coordinate machine on the tracing point recovers all six parameters — the four lengths and the two that say where the tracer sits — at a condition number of 162.3. Using both recovers the same six at 26.1, 6.2 times better, which is the case for putting two instruments on one machine: not more parameters, better-conditioned ones.

What this field cannot measure

Every field on this site has a boundary and this one has three: a direction the readings cannot span, an alternative no derivative detects, and a model nobody thought of. The first is computable exactly, the second needs a search, and the third is not detectable from data by any method at all.

metrology · Parameter

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

CalibrationIdentification jacobianMeasurement residualIdentifiableStructural identifiabilityBranch ambiguityCognate ambiguityLeast-squaresNoise amplificationUnidentifiable directionCoupler pointMinimal parameterisation

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